I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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87–50 on winners spread MAE 10.5 137 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Dayton @ George Washington +4.7 151.6 69% 68–66 ✗
Rider @ Iona +10.2 143.5 87% 58–80 ✓
Brown @ Columbia +6.3 137.5 71% 62–80 ✓
Siena @ Fairfield -0.1 137.5 53% 58–72 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Sacred Heart +1.8 143.6 61% 69–77 ✓
Merrimack @ Canisius -8.8 131.3 17% 62–67 ✗
Manhattan @ Saint Peter's +7.9 144.3 81% 65–75 ✓
Harvard @ Princeton -1.4 132.1 43% 58–56 ✓
Dartmouth @ Pennsylvania +4.9 148.6 75% 71–80 ✓
UL Monroe @ Troy +17.0 157.1 90% 65–80 ✓
Old Dominion @ Georgia State -0.1 145.4 48% 81–73 ✓
Michigan @ Illinois +1.7 163.4 60% 84–70 ✗
Akron @ Kent State -3.1 162.8 44% 92–70 ✓
App State @ Texas State -0.1 137.3 55% 57–60 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ James Madison +5.9 142.4 74% 69–68 ✗
Southern Miss @ South Alabama +6.9 143.4 78% 68–55 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Marshall +8.8 163.3 83% 99–82 ✗
Louisiana @ Arkansas State +14.2 141.7 88% 58–81 ✓
Colorado @ Houston +15.0 137.9 88% 62–102 ✓
Virginia @ Duke +12.1 146.3 86% 51–77 ✓
Seton Hall @ UConn +14.9 135.9 88% 67–71 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Rhode Island +3.4 135.8 69% 61–55 ✗
Iowa @ Penn State -10.3 135.8 17% 69–71 ✗
NC State @ Notre Dame -5.1 151.3 37% 90–96 ✗
Florida State @ Georgia Tech -3.6 156.2 32% 80–71 ✓
Boston University @ American University +2.6 145.1 62% 68–65 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Holy Cross +2.4 145.4 63% 76–62 ✗
Fordham @ VCU +15.7 140.2 88% 63–82 ✓
Army @ Lafayette +2.8 145.6 63% 77–83 ✓
Cleveland State @ Robert Morris +12.3 156.2 86% 64–83 ✓
Chicago State @ Wagner +5.1 134.7 70% 61–80 ✓
Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut +9.0 148.0 84% 64–69 ✓
Le Moyne @ New Haven -0.1 130.1 55% 59–66 ✗
Missouri @ Mississippi State +0.4 154.4 52% 88–64 ✗
New Mexico State @ Middle Tennessee +3.5 144.9 73% 85–86 ✓
UMBC @ UMass Lowell -1.3 141.7 49% 84–60 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Long Island University +9.7 135.1 84% 60–74 ✓
Georgetown @ Xavier +4.0 151.8 68% 84–91 ✓
Louisville @ Clemson -0.9 146.6 49% 75–80 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ IU Indianapolis -1.0 155.6 50% 87–81 ✓
Bucknell @ Lehigh +3.4 142.2 68% 79–89 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ George Mason +5.9 139.3 75% 58–71 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Cincinnati +7.3 152.8 78% 68–91 ✓
Oregon @ Northwestern +5.0 141.9 63% 62–63 ✓
UCLA @ Minnesota -1.3 135.4 40% 73–78 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ South Carolina Upstate +10.4 148.8 86% 61–71 ✓
Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville +4.7 148.1 72% 92–75 ✗
San Diego State @ New Mexico +4.8 148.7 75% 76–81 ✓
South Dakota State @ South Dakota -3.1 149.5 40% 70–75 ✗
Youngstown State @ Green Bay +0.1 145.0 53% 63–85 ✓
Massachusetts @ Bowling Green +2.9 149.3 67% 62–81 ✓
Central Michigan @ Buffalo +6.2 149.1 72% 75–70 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Stonehill -1.9 135.2 39% 75–72 ✓
New Hampshire @ UAlbany +4.1 137.4 69% 61–84 ✓
Maine @ Binghamton -2.5 129.7 40% 67–74 ✗
William & Mary @ North Carolina A&T -4.4 157.9 41% 91–88 ✓
Campbell @ Towson +4.1 135.8 70% 67–71 ✓
The Citadel @ Wofford +12.8 143.3 87% 93–90 ✗
VMI @ Chattanooga +11.8 148.4 86% 79–86 ✓
Queens University @ Central Arkansas +4.3 163.4 69% 79–84 ✓
North Alabama @ West Georgia +3.6 147.1 63% 63–75 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Stetson -4.5 149.6 34% 63–78 ✗
Austin Peay @ Bellarmine -4.3 151.0 34% 97–111 ✗
Tennessee State @ UT Martin +3.4 140.3 67% 67–42 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky +1.5 152.9 60% 77–91 ✓
Boston College @ Miami +12.6 143.8 87% 54–76 ✓
Radford @ Longwood +1.0 154.0 58% 74–90 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Oakland +7.6 157.9 79% 95–89 ✗
Elon @ Monmouth +2.6 149.1 68% 57–73 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana State +10.6 153.9 86% 61–82 ✓
Florida International @ Louisiana Tech +2.0 142.9 65% 84–76 ✗
UTEP @ Western Kentucky +8.3 143.2 81% 65–97 ✓
Utah @ Arizona State +6.7 148.2 77% 60–73 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Southern +1.6 151.9 53% 82–79 ✗
South Carolina @ Georgia +13.5 163.5 87% 68–87 ✓
Texas Tech @ Iowa State +6.8 143.3 76% 82–73 ✗
Nebraska @ USC -4.5 146.5 31% 82–67 ✓
Wisconsin @ Washington +0.8 152.3 51% 90–73 ✗
Air Force @ Wyoming +18.0 141.2 90% 62–66 ✓
Valparaiso @ Evansville -5.8 139.0 26% 79–80 ✗
San Diego @ Portland +2.5 145.4 65% 74–87 ✓
Howard @ Morgan State -8.0 144.6 19% 84–59 ✓
Richmond @ Loyola Chicago -5.3 143.3 33% 66–69 ✗
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +10.7 143.2 86% 70–74 ✓
Pittsburgh @ California +7.0 142.5 78% 72–56 ✗
Colgate @ Navy +7.9 139.8 78% 69–85 ✓
Toledo @ Ohio +0.2 151.7 56% 79–67 ✗
NJIT @ Bryant +0.1 134.7 51% 52–69 ✓
Northeastern @ Hampton +2.8 143.7 60% 65–76 ✓
Portland State @ Montana +0.9 143.0 53% 68–74 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Idaho +1.2 149.8 59% 76–67 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington +9.5 143.6 82% 57–88 ✓
Lipscomb @ Eastern Kentucky -1.6 155.3 47% 80–77 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Little Rock +5.2 139.3 71% 70–89 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Utah Valley +13.7 135.0 87% 67–74 ✓
Kansas @ Arizona +11.0 153.0 85% 61–84 ✓
Texas @ Texas A&M +3.3 161.0 66% 76–70 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State -0.6 132.1 46% 74–60 ✓
South Carolina State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +4.0 130.8 63% 57–69 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Mercer -0.2 146.5 53% 76–82 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Houston Christian -8.4 133.9 20% 77–56 ✓
Lindenwood @ Western Illinois -8.9 139.2 22% 91–69 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +5.6 132.3 70% 50–77 ✓
Ball State @ Northern Illinois +1.3 131.4 54% 79–43 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Nicholls +4.8 139.1 71% 60–68 ✓
Norfolk State @ Coppin State -7.8 136.1 22% 75–69 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Southeast Missouri State +7.3 138.3 77% 73–89 ✓
Colorado State @ San José State -7.0 143.1 27% 85–73 ✓
Lamar @ Incarnate Word -0.8 134.5 45% 60–72 ✗
Delaware @ Kennesaw State +10.2 147.6 84% 82–90 ✓
North Dakota @ North Dakota State +13.5 151.7 88% 63–96 ✓
BYU @ West Virginia -2.8 139.8 45% 71–79 ✗
Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M +4.7 152.6 74% 51–72 ✓
Providence @ Creighton +3.9 165.3 70% 79–76 ✗
Furman @ Western Carolina -1.0 148.8 51% 67–86 ✗
East Texas A&M @ UT Rio Grande Valley +10.8 143.4 86% 55–63 ✓
Missouri State @ Sam Houston +10.1 150.0 84% 81–86 ✓
Jackson State @ Texas Southern +5.3 152.6 75% 57–82 ✓
Alabama State @ Alabama A&M +1.1 140.9 56% 89–88 ✗
Syracuse @ Wake Forest +4.4 151.7 74% 83–88 ✓
Florida A&M @ Grambling +4.0 135.8 70% 66–59 ✗
San Francisco @ Pacific +2.7 139.3 64% 72–61 ✗
Dartmouth @ Princeton +1.6 139.2 59% 61–82 ✓
SMU @ Stanford -1.6 151.4 52% 75–95 ✗
Brown @ Cornell +9.3 153.1 80% 80–86 ✓
Yale @ Columbia -5.0 143.0 29% 60–54 ✓
Harvard @ Pennsylvania +1.2 131.5 60% 61–64 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Samford +8.5 155.2 82% 78–87 ✓
McNeese @ New Orleans -8.2 147.2 19% 66–63 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho State +1.3 150.0 60% 83–73 ✗
Oklahoma @ LSU +3.1 157.2 66% 83–67 ✗
Jacksonville @ North Florida -0.5 148.3 42% 85–61 ✓
Liberty @ Jacksonville State -2.3 140.4 42% 81–78 ✓
Alabama @ Tennessee +4.4 173.6 65% 71–69 ✗
TCU @ Kansas State -2.7 151.8 38% 77–68 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +12.6 145.6 87% 70–69 ✗
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +7.1 133.0 74% 59–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.