Betting Lines
| Spread | NIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | NIU -130 BALL +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +36 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | NIU -2.3 (-38.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIU -0.1 (-36.1) | 132.6 (-10.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIU -1.3 (-37.3) | 131.4 (-9.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -1.3 (-37.3) | 130.7 (-8.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIU -0.7 (-36.7) | 130.1 (-8.1) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BALL 58 – 53 NIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BALL 89 – 83 NIU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NIU 76 – 66 BALL |
| Feb 21, 2024 | BALL 70 – 63 NIU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BALL 81 – 71 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#315) | -9.8 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#287) | -1.66 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#314) | -2.36 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#296) | 0.408 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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