Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WCU +100 FUR -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +19 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -1.0 (+20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -0.3 (+18.7) | 146.1 (+6.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -1.0 (+20.0) | 148.8 (+4.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -0.9 (+18.1) | 144.0 (+9.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -0.7 (+18.3) | 145.5 (+7.5) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | WCU 80 – 77 FUR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FUR 84 – 75 WCU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | FUR 90 – 61 WCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FUR 79 – 76 WCU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | WCU 85 – 77 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#251) | -1.4 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#247) | -0.25 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#262) | -0.34 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#197) | 0.514 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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