Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WCU +360 FUR -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +29 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -12.8 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -11.4 (-17.6) | 137.9 (+13.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -13.6 (-15.4) | 135.6 (+15.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -13.0 (-16.0) | 137.1 (+13.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -14.0 (-15.0) | 137.3 (+13.7) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WCU 86 – 67 FUR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WCU 80 – 77 FUR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FUR 84 – 75 WCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FUR 79 – 76 WCU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | WCU 85 – 77 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-14 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#348) | 4.0 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.38 (#355) | 2.79 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.51 (#358) | 2.99 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#321) | 0.602 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 13.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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