And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Southern Conference · Ramsey Center · January 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -9.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money WCU +360 / FUR -500
Model Predictions
Spread Total WCU win
Actual FUR +29 151 Lost
Massey FUR -12.8 (-16.2) — —
Massey Totals — 132.8 (+18.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 0% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 0% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FUR -14.0 (-15.0) 137.3 (+13.7) 15% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FUR -11.4 (-17.6) 137.9 (+13.1) 17% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FUR -13.6 (-15.4) 135.6 (+15.4) 15% ✓
Baseline ML FUR -13.0 (-16.0) 137.1 (+13.9) 15% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 WCU 86 – 67 FUR
Jan 3, 2026 WCU 80 – 77 FUR
Feb 6, 2025 FUR 84 – 75 WCU
Mar 10, 2024 FUR 79 – 76 WCU
Feb 29, 2024 WCU 85 – 77 FUR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WCU FUR
Overall 8-22 25-10
Conference 4-14 11-7
Home 7-7 13-3
Away 1-14 9-6
Neutral 0-1 3-1
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L5 L2
Avg Pts For 67.1 74.2
Avg Pts Against 80.6 71.1
Massey -12.9 (#348) 4.0 (#103)
Bradley-Terry -3.38 (#355) 2.79 (#23)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.51 (#358) 2.99 (#51)
RPI 0.411 (#321) 0.602 (#37)
Shooting & Four Factors WCU FUR
FG% 37.1% 44.9%
3PT% 26.6% 34.2%
REB / G 36.8 33.2
OREB / G 10.9 8.6
AST / TO 0.59 1.31
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.8% 53.7%
TOV% 24.4% 18.4%
ORB% 28.5% 27.2%
FT Rate 13.1% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.0% 46.9%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 17.3%
DRB% 73.1% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 23.5% 19.3%

Game Analysis

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