I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Southern Conference · Bon Secours Wellness Arena · February 6, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -15.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money FUR -2000 / WCU +1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total FUR win
Actual FUR +9 159 Won
Massey FUR -19.5 (-10.5)
Massey Totals 142.0 (+17.0)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 99%
Efficiency Plus ML FUR -13.0 (-4.0) 145.7 (+13.3) 88%
Baseline Tuned ML FUR -14.1 (-5.1) 142.9 (+16.1) 89%
Baseline ML FUR -14.9 (-5.9) 144.4 (+14.6) 89%
Baseline Plus ML FUR -15.6 (-6.6) 143.7 (+15.3) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 WCU 8667 FUR
Jan 3, 2026 WCU 8077 FUR
Jan 1, 2025 FUR 9061 WCU
Mar 10, 2024 FUR 7976 WCU
Feb 29, 2024 WCU 8577 FUR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FUR WCU
Overall 25-10 8-22
Conference 11-7 4-14
Home 13-3 7-7
Away 9-6 1-14
Neutral 3-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L2 L5
Avg Pts For 74.2 67.1
Avg Pts Against 71.1 80.6
Massey 0.6 (#153) -15.7 (#355)
Bradley-Terry 0.76 (#109) -2.63 (#350)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.54 (#134) -3.34 (#350)
RPI 0.547 (#90) 0.413 (#326)
Shooting & Four Factors FUR WCU
FG% 43.8% 36.9%
3PT% 33.6% 28.0%
REB / G 34.6 36.3
OREB / G 10.6 9.9
AST / TO 1.36 0.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 43.9%
TOV% 17.4% 20.5%
ORB% 30.8% 25.6%
FT Rate 21.9% 19.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.5% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 15.2%
DRB% 68.7% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 25.6%

Game Analysis

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