Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WCU -120 FUR +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -4.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -5.0 (+3.0) | 146.0 (+16.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -2.7 (+5.3) | 145.4 (+16.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -4.3 (+3.7) | 144.0 (+18.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -4.6 (+3.4) | 145.4 (+16.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WCU 86 – 67 FUR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WCU 80 – 77 FUR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FUR 84 – 75 WCU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | FUR 90 – 61 WCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FUR 79 – 76 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 10-6 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#122) | 2.0 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#112) | 0.35 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#119) | 0.33 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#110) | 0.517 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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