Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -440 WCU +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +3 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -13.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -12.4 (-15.4) | 146.0 (+11.0) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -12.9 (-15.9) | 147.3 (+9.7) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -11.7 (-14.7) | 147.8 (+9.2) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -11.3 (-14.3) | 147.4 (+9.6) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WCU 86 – 67 FUR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FUR 84 – 75 WCU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | FUR 90 – 61 WCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FUR 79 – 76 WCU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | WCU 85 – 77 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#167) | -9.4 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#116) | -1.39 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#143) | -1.89 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#75) | 0.462 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 58.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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