All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
Western Carolina Catamounts
76 – 79 OT
FINAL Neutral Conference SoCon
Furman Paladins
Southern Conference · Harrah's Cherokee Center (Neutral) · March 10, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -1.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money WCU +120 / FUR -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total WCU win
Actual FUR +3 155 Lost
Massey WCU -2.6 (-5.6) — —
Massey Totals — 150.7 (+4.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 69% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 72% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WCU -2.7 (-5.7) 147.6 (+7.4) 63% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WCU -0.7 (-3.7) 147.7 (+7.3) 51% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WCU -3.3 (-6.3) 146.5 (+8.5) 65% ✗
Baseline ML WCU -3.1 (-6.1) 146.7 (+8.3) 67% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 WCU 86 – 67 FUR
Jan 3, 2026 WCU 80 – 77 FUR
Feb 6, 2025 FUR 84 – 75 WCU
Jan 1, 2025 FUR 90 – 61 WCU
Feb 29, 2024 WCU 85 – 77 FUR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WCU FUR
Overall 22-10 17-16
Conference 11-7 10-8
Home 12-3 12-3
Away 10-6 3-10
Neutral 0-1 2-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.1 78.8
Avg Pts Against 69.8 76.7
Massey 4.0 (#109) 1.4 (#145)
Bradley-Terry 0.95 (#100) 0.14 (#156)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.07 (#105) 0.12 (#159)
RPI 0.547 (#97) 0.504 (#172)
Shooting & Four Factors WCU FUR
FG% 45.0% 44.4%
3PT% 36.6% 33.2%
REB / G 38.7 37.3
OREB / G 10.3 11.2
AST / TO 1.11 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 52.3%
TOV% 14.5% 16.3%
ORB% 28.9% 30.0%
FT Rate 20.1% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 13.5% 16.0%
DRB% 75.7% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 23.2% 19.3%

Game Analysis

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