I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Western Carolina Catamounts
76 79 OT
FINAL Neutral Conference SoCon
Furman Paladins
Southern Conference · Harrah's Cherokee Center (Neutral) · March 10, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -1.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money WCU +120 / FUR -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total WCU win
Actual FUR +3 155 Lost
Massey WCU -2.6 (-5.6)
Massey Totals 150.7 (+4.3)
Bradley-Terry 69%
Weighted B-T 72%
Efficiency Plus ML WCU -2.3 (-5.3) 147.5 (+7.5) 55%
Baseline Tuned ML WCU -4.5 (-7.5) 145.8 (+9.2) 69%
Baseline ML WCU -4.5 (-7.5) 146.6 (+8.4) 70%
Baseline Plus ML WCU -4.1 (-7.1) 146.8 (+8.2) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 WCU 8667 FUR
Jan 3, 2026 WCU 8077 FUR
Feb 6, 2025 FUR 8475 WCU
Jan 1, 2025 FUR 9061 WCU
Feb 29, 2024 WCU 8577 FUR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WCU FUR
Overall 22-10 17-16
Conference 11-7 10-8
Home 12-3 12-3
Away 10-6 3-10
Neutral 0-1 2-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.1 78.8
Avg Pts Against 69.8 76.7
Massey 4.0 (#109) 1.4 (#145)
Bradley-Terry 0.95 (#100) 0.14 (#156)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.07 (#105) 0.12 (#159)
RPI 0.547 (#97) 0.504 (#172)
Shooting & Four Factors WCU FUR
FG% 45.0% 44.4%
3PT% 36.6% 33.2%
REB / G 38.7 37.3
OREB / G 10.3 11.2
AST / TO 1.11 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 52.3%
TOV% 14.5% 16.3%
ORB% 28.9% 30.0%
FT Rate 20.1% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 13.5% 16.0%
DRB% 75.7% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 23.2% 19.3%

Game Analysis

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