Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -135 TEX +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -3.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -3.3 (-9.3) | 161.0 (-15.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -3.3 (-9.3) | 160.4 (-14.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -3.5 (-9.5) | 162.8 (-16.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -1.7 (-7.7) | 161.5 (-15.5) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | TA&M 74 – 70 TEX |
| Mar 13, 2025 | TEX 94 – 89 TA&M |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TEX 70 – 69 TA&M |
| Jan 5, 2025 | TA&M 80 – 60 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.1 | 81.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#33) | 14.5 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#37) | 2.10 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#39) | 3.17 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#64) | 0.548 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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