Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -280 TEX +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +20 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -4.9 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -5.9 (+14.1) | 137.4 (+2.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -5.9 (+14.1) | 138.8 (+1.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -5.6 (+14.4) | 138.9 (+1.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -5.9 (+14.1) | 137.9 (+2.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TEX 76 – 70 TA&M |
| Jan 17, 2026 | TA&M 74 – 70 TEX |
| Mar 13, 2025 | TEX 94 – 89 TA&M |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TEX 70 – 69 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#26) | 14.0 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#19) | 1.61 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.94 (#19) | 2.10 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#13) | 0.525 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 51.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 42.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 17.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 59.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 45.4% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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