Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -110 TA&M -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -0.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -1.4 (-0.4) | 139.7 (-0.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -1.5 (-0.5) | 140.2 (-1.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -1.3 (-0.3) | 140.6 (-1.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -1.7 (-0.7) | 142.2 (-3.2) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TEX 76 – 70 TA&M |
| Jan 17, 2026 | TA&M 74 – 70 TEX |
| Mar 13, 2025 | TEX 94 – 89 TA&M |
| Jan 5, 2025 | TA&M 80 – 60 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#35) | 16.7 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#40) | 3.59 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#39) | 4.24 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#79) | 0.658 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 16.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 42.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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