Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -225 TA&M +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -3.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.8 (-30.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -4.9 (-8.9) | 168.2 (-24.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -4.7 (-8.7) | 167.1 (-23.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -4.4 (-8.4) | 166.8 (-22.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -4.5 (-8.5) | 167.4 (-23.4) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TEX 76 – 70 TA&M |
| Mar 13, 2025 | TEX 94 – 89 TA&M |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TEX 70 – 69 TA&M |
| Jan 5, 2025 | TA&M 80 – 60 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.7 | 86.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#40) | 13.6 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#48) | 2.18 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#33) | 2.57 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#111) | 0.560 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 38.2% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 36.6% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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