← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →

39–15 on winners spread MAE 7.6 54 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Temple @ Florida Atlantic	+6.5	143.4	74%	73–77	✓
Winthrop @ Charleston Southern	-4.6	158.3	29%	84–86	✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford	+7.0	155.2	78%	59–71	✓
UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb	-11.7	138.5	17%	77–71	✓
High Point @ Presbyterian	-10.8	143.5	15%	79–73	✓
Mercyhurst @ Central Connecticut	+3.2	134.9	65%	78–80	✓
New Haven @ Wagner	+1.7	129.3	54%	62–65	✓
Saint Francis @ Stonehill	+2.6	137.0	55%	77–103	✓
Chicago State @ Long Island University	+11.3	138.7	85%	56–73	✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Le Moyne	+3.8	138.0	62%	59–76	✓
UMass Lowell @ Vermont	+8.2	145.5	81%	64–66	✓
Campbell @ Drexel	+0.9	141.8	56%	60–65	✓
Elon @ Towson	+4.1	139.4	71%	56–58	✓
North Carolina A&T @ UNC Wilmington	+13.1	139.4	88%	65–88	✓
Stony Brook @ Monmouth	+3.3	140.5	70%	69–82	✓
Northeastern @ William & Mary	+9.9	157.6	85%	77–84	✓
UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga	+4.7	150.7	73%	85–80	✗
Stetson @ Jacksonville	+4.4	141.0	71%	85–89	✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ North Florida	-4.5	156.6	30%	70–76	✗
Delaware @ Jacksonville State	+6.4	135.9	73%	70–80	✓
Liberty @ Kennesaw State	-0.0	151.0	51%	65–74	✗
Missouri State @ Louisiana Tech	+1.6	137.7	58%	70–72	✓
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee	+7.9	137.6	77%	67–77	✓
New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky	+3.0	147.1	68%	70–93	✓
Michigan State @ Purdue	+6.4	143.2	74%	76–74	✗
Denver @ Oral Roberts	-4.4	152.4	37%	80–102	✗
South Dakota State @ Kansas City	-11.8	145.3	16%	73–59	✓
VMI @ Samford	+15.7	153.2	89%	61–80	✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley	+14.3	140.1	88%	72–79	✓
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern	+5.9	146.3	76%	87–92	✓
Florida A&M @ Southern	+7.4	146.9	79%	82–71	✗
Western Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville	+11.5	134.9	85%	47–67	✓
Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State	+3.2	148.9	68%	79–71	✗
Eastern Illinois @ Lindenwood	+5.9	140.7	73%	71–67	✗
Morehead State @ Little Rock	+0.7	140.7	53%	76–70	✗
Tennessee Tech @ UT Martin	+8.4	131.7	80%	49–64	✓
Wichita State @ Memphis	+0.8	145.2	58%	88–82	✗
UC Riverside @ UC Santa Barbara	+10.5	145.7	85%	59–70	✓
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota	+2.1	152.9	63%	62–84	✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis	-1.5	144.6	57%	77–73	✓
Portland State @ Montana State	+2.2	138.3	64%	69–84	✓
Sacramento State @ Montana	+8.5	154.7	82%	73–81	✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho	+9.0	143.0	83%	58–78	✓
Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington	-0.3	153.5	47%	72–82	✗
Abilene Christian @ Utah Tech	+3.7	135.7	63%	81–85	✓
Florida International @ Sam Houston	+8.4	159.3	80%	67–100	✓
Jackson State @ Prairie View A&M	+3.4	159.8	73%	76–85	✓
Long Beach State @ Cal Poly	+5.4	155.0	70%	92–102	✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Northridge	+0.5	151.6	56%	68–67	✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC San Diego	+17.6	145.9	90%	72–84	✓
UT Arlington @ California Baptist	+4.5	130.7	67%	56–68	✓
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan	-9.4	160.2	18%	69–67	✓
Yale @ Cornell	-4.4	159.1	31%	69–72	✗
Quinnipiac @ Niagara	-8.2	130.8	20%	76–78	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.