Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SOU -470 FAMU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +11 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | SOU -8.3 (-19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -7.4 (-18.4) | 146.9 (+6.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -6.1 (-17.1) | 145.4 (+7.6) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -6.0 (-17.0) | 146.5 (+6.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -6.5 (-17.5) | 147.3 (+5.7) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | FAMU 67 – 59 SOU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SOU 91 – 57 FAMU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SOU 58 – 44 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#288) | -13.2 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#264) | -1.61 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#249) | -1.96 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#261) | 0.427 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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