Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SOU -1000 FAMU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +34 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SOU -13.1 (+20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -10.9 (+23.1) | 140.2 (+7.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -9.8 (+24.2) | 140.2 (+7.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -9.5 (+24.5) | 139.8 (+8.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -10.3 (+23.7) | 141.0 (+7.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Feb 27, 2026 | FAMU 82 – 71 SOU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | FAMU 67 – 59 SOU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SOU 58 – 44 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 9-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#239) | -13.4 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#199) | -1.74 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#227) | -2.43 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#138) | 0.435 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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