Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SOU -500 FAMU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +14 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | SOU -11.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-39.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -10.0 (+4.0) | 136.9 (-34.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -9.9 (+4.1) | 137.4 (-35.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -9.1 (+4.9) | 137.0 (-35.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -9.4 (+4.6) | 139.0 (-37.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Feb 27, 2026 | FAMU 82 – 71 SOU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | FAMU 67 – 59 SOU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SOU 91 – 57 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-2 | 4-8 |
| Away | 7-11 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#268) | -13.3 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#195) | -2.16 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#230) | -2.66 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#173) | 0.419 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.8% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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