Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU +105 SOU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | SOU -3.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -1.5 (-1.5) | 143.7 (-0.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -2.2 (-0.8) | 141.6 (+1.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -1.5 (-1.5) | 141.5 (+1.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -1.2 (-1.8) | 141.3 (+1.7) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | FAMU 82 – 71 SOU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | FAMU 67 – 59 SOU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SOU 91 – 57 FAMU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SOU 58 – 44 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#327) | -8.3 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#271) | -0.97 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#272) | -1.14 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#258) | 0.469 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.