I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Conference USA · Pete Mathews Coliseum · February 27, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -7.5 Home covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money JXST -360 / DEL +285
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual JXST +10 150 Won
Massey JXST -6.8 (+3.2) — —
Massey Totals — 132.2 (+17.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 74% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -3.9 (+6.1) 134.6 (+15.4) 65% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -6.4 (+3.6) 135.9 (+14.1) 73% ✓
Baseline Plus ML JXST -4.6 (+5.4) 135.9 (+14.1) 69% ✓
Baseline ML JXST -3.9 (+6.1) 135.6 (+14.4) 65% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 3, 2026 JXST 67 – 64 DEL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JXST DEL
Overall 15-17 10-21
Conference 10-10 6-14
Home 10-7 5-10
Away 5-8 4-10
Neutral 0-2 1-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 67.9
Avg Pts Against 70.6 74.1
Massey -2.6 (#207) -6.5 (#267)
Bradley-Terry -0.64 (#231) -1.18 (#273)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.69 (#222) -1.31 (#261)
RPI 0.475 (#239) 0.444 (#289)
Shooting & Four Factors JXST DEL
FG% 42.8% 45.4%
3PT% 35.2% 36.6%
REB / G 34.1 30.7
OREB / G 10.1 6.3
AST / TO 1.01 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 53.7%
TOV% 17.2% 18.2%
ORB% 29.6% 21.3%
FT Rate 29.9% 23.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.5% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 13.8%
DRB% 70.6% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 28.6% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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