Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -258 FIU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +33 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -8.4 (+24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -8.4 (+24.6) | 159.3 (+7.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -8.1 (+24.9) | 155.3 (+11.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -7.3 (+25.7) | 156.8 (+10.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -8.7 (+24.3) | 157.4 (+9.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SHSU 76 – 63 FIU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | FIU 85 – 82 SHSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SHSU 81 – 74 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | SHSU 78 – 59 FIU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SHSU 70 – 56 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#109) | -1.4 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#97) | -0.63 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#99) | -0.61 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#71) | 0.480 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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