Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Conference USA · Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Over
Money SHSU -400 / FIU +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual SHSU +7 155 Won
Massey SHSU -5.8 (+1.2)
Massey Totals 156.6 (-1.6)
Bradley-Terry 83%
Weighted B-T 89%
Efficiency Plus ML SHSU -6.9 (+0.1) 147.2 (+7.8) 71%
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -4.3 (+2.7) 150.4 (+4.6) 70%
Baseline ML SHSU -4.5 (+2.5) 150.8 (+4.2) 65%
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -5.3 (+1.7) 150.4 (+4.6) 66%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 SHSU 10067 FIU
Jan 17, 2026 SHSU 7663 FIU
Feb 7, 2025 FIU 8582 SHSU
Mar 13, 2024 SHSU 7859 FIU
Feb 16, 2024 SHSU 7056 FIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU FIU
Overall 13-19 10-23
Conference 6-12 3-15
Home 9-4 7-8
Away 3-13 1-13
Neutral 1-2 2-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.9 67.9
Avg Pts Against 77.1 73.0
Massey -1.3 (#184) -3.1 (#217)
Bradley-Terry -0.27 (#196) -1.14 (#276)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.05 (#165) -1.18 (#254)
RPI 0.503 (#165) 0.426 (#303)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU FIU
FG% 44.9% 44.1%
3PT% 38.0% 32.4%
REB / G 32.5 33.9
OREB / G 11.2 10.4
AST / TO 1.04 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 49.1%
TOV% 17.9% 20.0%
ORB% 32.3% 29.8%
FT Rate 23.9% 26.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.0% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 21.1%
DRB% 66.6% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.3% 27.7%

Game Analysis

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