Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FIU +100 SHSU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +3 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -0.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -0.3 (+3.3) | 141.7 (+25.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -0.5 (+2.5) | 141.7 (+25.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -0.0 (+3.0) | 142.3 (+24.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.1 (+3.1) | 143.7 (+23.3) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SHSU 100 – 67 FIU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SHSU 76 – 63 FIU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SHSU 81 – 74 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | SHSU 78 – 59 FIU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SHSU 70 – 56 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#245) | -2.2 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#301) | -0.66 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#280) | -0.48 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#327) | 0.478 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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