We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Conference USA · Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · February 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money SHSU -333 / FIU +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual SHSU +14 126 Won
Massey SHSU -8.8 (+5.2)
Massey Totals 150.9 (-24.9)
Bradley-Terry 88%
Weighted B-T 87%
Efficiency Plus ML SHSU -9.2 (+4.8) 146.3 (-20.3) 81%
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -7.8 (+6.2) 145.5 (-19.5) 79%
Baseline ML SHSU -7.0 (+7.0) 147.1 (-21.1) 79%
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -6.8 (+7.2) 146.6 (-20.6) 79%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 SHSU 10067 FIU
Jan 17, 2026 SHSU 7663 FIU
Feb 7, 2025 FIU 8582 SHSU
Jan 11, 2025 SHSU 8174 FIU
Mar 13, 2024 SHSU 7859 FIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU FIU
Overall 21-12 11-22
Conference 13-3 5-11
Home 12-2 9-6
Away 7-9 1-12
Neutral 2-1 1-4
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.3 71.3
Avg Pts Against 69.9 77.2
Massey -2.3 (#207) -7.7 (#295)
Bradley-Terry 0.10 (#166) -1.29 (#296)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.14 (#180) -1.33 (#283)
RPI 0.512 (#148) 0.426 (#313)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU FIU
FG% 40.8% 42.4%
3PT% 33.3% 32.8%
REB / G 37.2 30.9
OREB / G 12.0 10.8
AST / TO 0.95 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.6% 49.1%
TOV% 18.2% 19.3%
ORB% 30.9% 28.2%
FT Rate 23.1% 18.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 56.7%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 25.4%
DRB% 73.0% 63.4%
Opp FT Rate 24.3% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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