Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO -675 NAU +490 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +20 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | IDHO -11.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -9.0 (+11.0) | 143.0 (-7.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -9.7 (+10.3) | 142.2 (-6.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -9.7 (+10.3) | 143.6 (-7.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -9.9 (+10.1) | 144.1 (-8.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | IDHO 79 – 62 NAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 78 NAU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NAU 80 – 72 IDHO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IDHO 86 – 76 NAU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | NAU 75 – 60 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#164) | -8.3 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#211) | -1.48 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#196) | -1.76 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#237) | 0.409 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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