Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NAU -145 IDHO +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | NAU -3.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -2.9 (-7.9) | 143.5 (+17.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -3.2 (-8.2) | 142.4 (+18.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -2.9 (-7.9) | 142.7 (+18.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -2.8 (-7.8) | 143.2 (+17.8) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | IDHO 79 – 62 NAU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NAU 80 – 72 IDHO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IDHO 86 – 76 NAU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | NAU 75 – 60 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#245) | -5.4 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#248) | -1.02 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#248) | -1.24 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#277) | 0.443 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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