Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | NAU -163 IDHO +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +10 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | NAU -2.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -1.4 (-11.4) | 141.1 (+20.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -2.4 (-12.4) | 136.9 (+25.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -2.3 (-12.3) | 138.0 (+24.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -2.3 (-12.3) | 138.9 (+23.1) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | IDHO 79 – 62 NAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 78 NAU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NAU 80 – 72 IDHO |
| Jan 26, 2024 | NAU 75 – 60 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-5 | 6-10 |
| Away | 6-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#312) | -7.9 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#213) | -1.27 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#244) | -1.69 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#211) | 0.428 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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