Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NAU +195 IDHO -238 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +17 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -5.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -3.3 (-13.7) | 144.3 (-3.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -3.5 (-13.5) | 142.7 (-1.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -3.9 (-13.1) | 144.2 (-3.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -4.2 (-12.8) | 144.7 (-3.7) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 78 NAU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NAU 80 – 72 IDHO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IDHO 86 – 76 NAU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | NAU 75 – 60 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#294) | -0.5 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#307) | -0.22 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#300) | -0.24 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#346) | 0.477 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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