Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO -165 NAU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -3.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -1.7 (-9.7) | 142.8 (+9.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -2.2 (-10.2) | 142.1 (+9.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -2.1 (-10.1) | 142.5 (+9.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -1.6 (-9.6) | 142.5 (+9.5) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | IDHO 79 – 62 NAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 78 NAU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IDHO 86 – 76 NAU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | NAU 75 – 60 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#239) | -4.4 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#231) | -0.93 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#239) | -1.23 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#249) | 0.429 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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