Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO -163 NAU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +15 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -5.8 (-20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -2.5 (-17.5) | 138.0 (-3.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -2.3 (-17.3) | 136.4 (-1.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -2.5 (-17.5) | 137.4 (-2.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -2.4 (-17.4) | 136.7 (-1.7) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | IDHO 79 – 62 NAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 78 NAU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NAU 80 – 72 IDHO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IDHO 86 – 76 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-10 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#301) | -10.3 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#290) | -0.26 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#298) | -0.83 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#319) | 0.492 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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