Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | KENN -105 LIB -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -1.6 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -0.6 (+9.6) | 155.2 (-16.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -0.0 (+9.0) | 151.0 (-12.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -2.0 (+11.0) | 151.7 (-12.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -1.8 (+10.8) | 152.2 (-13.2) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIB 81 – 73 KENN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LIB 81 – 79 KENN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | KENN 85 – 80 LIB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 KENN |
| Mar 5, 2023 | KENN 67 – 66 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#172) | 4.1 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#178) | 1.67 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#175) | 1.67 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#199) | 0.592 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 60.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 18.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.2% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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