Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -300 KENN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +2 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -7.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -7.0 (-5.0) | 141.2 (+18.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -5.4 (-3.4) | 142.3 (+17.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -7.3 (-5.3) | 141.3 (+18.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -7.0 (-5.0) | 142.4 (+17.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | KENN 74 – 65 LIB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIB 81 – 73 KENN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | KENN 85 – 80 LIB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 KENN |
| Mar 5, 2023 | KENN 67 – 66 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 9-2 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#68) | 1.1 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#57) | 0.66 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#58) | 0.69 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#61) | 0.541 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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