Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | KENN +135 LIB -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -4.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -3.2 (-4.8) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -3.0 (-5.0) | 143.6 (+0.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -3.0 (-5.0) | 141.8 (+2.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -3.3 (-4.7) | 142.2 (+1.8) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | KENN 74 – 65 LIB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIB 81 – 73 KENN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LIB 81 – 79 KENN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | KENN 85 – 80 LIB |
| Mar 5, 2023 | KENN 67 – 66 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#168) | 7.6 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#120) | 1.26 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#141) | 1.95 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#114) | 0.542 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 57.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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