Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -425 KENN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +5 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -10.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -11.0 (-16.0) | 134.3 (+30.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -9.1 (-14.1) | 138.5 (+26.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -10.2 (-15.2) | 133.6 (+31.4) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -10.3 (-15.3) | 135.1 (+29.9) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | KENN 74 – 65 LIB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIB 81 – 73 KENN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LIB 81 – 79 KENN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 KENN |
| Mar 5, 2023 | KENN 67 – 66 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 9-2 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#77) | 0.2 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#61) | 0.34 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#58) | 0.38 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#61) | 0.520 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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