Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -340 KENN +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -8.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -6.9 (+1.1) | 154.1 (-0.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -8.0 (+0.0) | 151.1 (+2.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -6.7 (+1.3) | 152.1 (+1.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -6.2 (+1.8) | 153.1 (+0.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | KENN 74 – 65 LIB |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LIB 81 – 79 KENN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | KENN 85 – 80 LIB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 KENN |
| Mar 5, 2023 | KENN 67 – 66 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 11-3 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#111) | -0.4 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#88) | -0.20 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#95) | -0.51 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#68) | 0.444 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 43.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 15.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 40.9% |
Game Analysis
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