We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Kennesaw State Owls
67 66
FINAL Conference ASUN
Liberty Flames
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · March 5, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LIB -4.0 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money KENN +196 / LIB -240
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +1 133 Won
Massey LIB -3.9 (+4.9)
Massey Totals 137.4 (-4.4)
Bradley-Terry 59%
Weighted B-T 52%
Efficiency Plus ML LIB -3.2 (+4.2) 139.2 (-6.2) 43%
Baseline Tuned ML LIB -1.6 (+2.6) 140.4 (-7.4) 41%
Baseline ML LIB -2.3 (+3.3) 142.0 (-9.0) 44%
Baseline Plus ML LIB -2.6 (+3.6) 140.1 (-7.1) 44%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 KENN 7465 LIB
Jan 3, 2026 LIB 8173 KENN
Mar 14, 2025 LIB 8179 KENN
Mar 2, 2025 KENN 8580 LIB
Jan 31, 2025 LIB 7668 KENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN LIB
Overall 26-9 27-9
Conference 15-3 15-3
Home 15-1 19-1
Away 10-6 6-7
Neutral 1-2 2-1
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.5 72.6
Avg Pts Against 70.9 62.3
Massey 1.9 (#135) 9.3 (#55)
Bradley-Terry 1.30 (#72) 1.56 (#59)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.17 (#93) 1.80 (#62)
RPI 0.573 (#53) 0.596 (#25)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN LIB
FG% 45.9% 47.0%
3PT% 37.0% 36.9%
REB / G 34.5 33.3
OREB / G 9.5 8.0
AST / TO 1.14 1.50
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.9% 56.1%
TOV% 17.9% 15.9%
ORB% 27.7% 25.3%
FT Rate 24.0% 18.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 19.3%
DRB% 74.5% 79.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.5% 19.9%

Game Analysis

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