Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | LR -155 MORE +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | LR -0.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -0.3 (-5.7) | 141.1 (+4.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -0.7 (-6.7) | 140.7 (+5.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -0.1 (-5.9) | 139.5 (+6.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -0.2 (-5.8) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | MORE 78 – 64 LR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LR 76 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | MORE 59 – 53 LR |
| Mar 10, 2024 | MORE 69 – 55 LR |
| Feb 16, 2024 | LR 69 – 68 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#309) | -7.8 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#303) | -0.57 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#306) | -1.09 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#288) | 0.498 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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