Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | MORE +110 LR -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +14 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | LR -3.6 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -3.3 (-10.7) | 129.6 (+8.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -1.9 (-12.1) | 130.7 (+7.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -3.2 (-10.8) | 127.6 (+10.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -3.3 (-10.7) | 129.4 (+8.6) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 LR |
| Dec 17, 2025 | MORE 78 – 64 LR |
| Jan 9, 2025 | MORE 59 – 53 LR |
| Mar 10, 2024 | MORE 69 – 55 LR |
| Feb 16, 2024 | LR 69 – 68 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#307) | -2.1 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#224) | -0.37 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#272) | -0.52 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#204) | 0.490 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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