Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -155 LR +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -11.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -7.0 (+7.0) | 138.5 (+3.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -6.5 (+7.5) | 134.3 (+7.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -6.2 (+7.8) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -6.5 (+7.5) | 140.2 (+1.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 LR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LR 76 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | MORE 59 – 53 LR |
| Mar 10, 2024 | MORE 69 – 55 LR |
| Feb 16, 2024 | LR 69 – 68 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#300) | -15.1 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#326) | -2.12 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#331) | -2.95 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#306) | 0.376 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 61.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 59.1% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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