Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | LR +110 MORE -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -4.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -3.8 (+4.8) | 139.5 (-2.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -3.5 (+4.5) | 139.8 (-2.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -3.0 (+4.0) | 139.0 (-2.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -3.4 (+4.4) | 141.4 (-4.4) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 LR |
| Dec 17, 2025 | MORE 78 – 64 LR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LR 76 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | MORE 59 – 53 LR |
| Mar 10, 2024 | MORE 69 – 55 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#241) | 3.5 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#255) | 1.20 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#242) | 1.25 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#292) | 0.569 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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