Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LR +155 MORE -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +14 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -3.8 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -3.6 (-10.4) | 139.0 (-15.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -4.8 (-9.2) | 138.6 (-14.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -3.5 (-10.5) | 139.8 (-15.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -4.3 (-9.7) | 138.6 (-14.6) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 LR |
| Dec 17, 2025 | MORE 78 – 64 LR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LR 76 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | MORE 59 – 53 LR |
| Feb 16, 2024 | LR 69 – 68 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#183) | 2.5 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#217) | 0.69 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#212) | 0.78 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#223) | 0.556 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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