Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | CP -245 LBSU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +10 | 194 | Won |
| Massey | CP -4.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.1 (+29.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -4.5 (+5.5) | 156.0 (+38.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -5.4 (+4.6) | 155.0 (+39.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -5.1 (+4.9) | 152.4 (+41.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -5.4 (+4.6) | 154.3 (+39.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | LBSU 74 – 66 CP |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CP 83 – 69 LBSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CP 78 – 69 LBSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LBSU 77 – 68 CP |
| Jan 5, 2024 | LBSU 89 – 82 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.3 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#227) | -5.5 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#216) | -1.43 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#208) | -1.46 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#231) | 0.413 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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