Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CP +350 LBSU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +7 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -5.4 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -5.9 (-1.1) | 146.3 (+24.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -7.1 (+0.1) | 145.8 (+25.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -5.9 (-1.1) | 143.6 (+27.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -6.0 (-1.0) | 144.3 (+26.7) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | CP 102 – 92 LBSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LBSU 74 – 66 CP |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CP 83 – 69 LBSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CP 78 – 69 LBSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LBSU 77 – 68 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 10-10 |
| Home | 3-11 | 8-5 |
| Away | 0-16 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#310) | 1.1 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#272) | 0.79 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#282) | 0.73 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#299) | 0.529 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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