Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU +160 CP -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +14 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | CP -3.6 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -2.8 (-11.2) | 153.0 (-1.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -1.8 (-12.2) | 158.2 (-6.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -4.3 (-9.7) | 156.1 (-4.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -3.2 (-10.8) | 155.2 (-3.2) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | CP 102 – 92 LBSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LBSU 74 – 66 CP |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CP 78 – 69 LBSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LBSU 77 – 68 CP |
| Jan 5, 2024 | LBSU 89 – 82 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 8-12 |
| Home | 3-11 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 83.4 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#300) | -1.8 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#329) | -0.27 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#309) | -0.38 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#324) | 0.475 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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