Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CP -320 LBSU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | CP -8.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -3.7 (+5.3) | 149.6 (-2.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -4.6 (+4.4) | 148.4 (-1.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -5.0 (+4.0) | 150.9 (-3.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -4.5 (+4.5) | 150.1 (-3.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | CP 102 – 92 LBSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LBSU 74 – 66 CP |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CP 83 – 69 LBSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LBSU 77 – 68 CP |
| Jan 5, 2024 | LBSU 89 – 82 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 3-17 |
| Home | 9-5 | 3-11 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#242) | -9.3 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#246) | -1.24 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#259) | -1.43 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#247) | 0.444 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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