Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU -135 CP +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -1.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -1.4 (+6.6) | 155.1 (-15.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -0.2 (+7.8) | 153.6 (-13.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -0.5 (+7.5) | 156.7 (-16.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -0.4 (+7.6) | 157.3 (-17.3) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | CP 102 – 92 LBSU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CP 83 – 69 LBSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CP 78 – 69 LBSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LBSU 77 – 68 CP |
| Jan 5, 2024 | LBSU 89 – 82 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 85.3 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#251) | -3.5 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#293) | -0.41 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#280) | -0.78 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#327) | 0.481 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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