Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -375 SAC +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -8.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -6.7 (+1.3) | 155.3 (-1.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -8.5 (-0.5) | 154.7 (-0.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -7.1 (+0.9) | 152.3 (+1.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -6.6 (+1.4) | 153.0 (+1.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAC 86 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONT 60 – 54 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONT 87 – 59 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MONT 68 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MONT 70 – 67 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 83.6 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#182) | -6.2 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#217) | -1.31 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#204) | -1.44 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#216) | 0.428 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 33.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.