Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -1200 SAC +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +7 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -14.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -13.3 (-6.3) | 134.3 (-5.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -9.9 (-2.9) | 132.0 (-3.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -11.5 (-4.5) | 138.7 (-9.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -11.7 (-4.7) | 137.6 (-8.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONT 81 – 73 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAC 86 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONT 60 – 54 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONT 87 – 59 SAC |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MONT 70 – 67 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 10-24 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#148) | -10.5 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#134) | -2.01 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#148) | -2.61 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#119) | 0.400 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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