Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SAC +260 MONT -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -7.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -8.3 (+5.3) | 138.8 (-1.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -6.5 (+3.5) | 136.5 (+0.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -7.7 (+4.7) | 138.9 (-1.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -7.8 (+4.8) | 140.1 (-3.1) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONT 81 – 73 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAC 86 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONT 60 – 54 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONT 87 – 59 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MONT 68 – 61 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-24 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#304) | 2.6 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#301) | 0.60 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#299) | 0.64 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#320) | 0.547 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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