Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +136 MONT -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +7 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -5.4 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -4.3 (+11.3) | 153.2 (+11.8) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -5.6 (+12.6) | 153.3 (+11.7) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -4.9 (+11.9) | 149.6 (+15.4) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -4.5 (+11.5) | 152.3 (+12.7) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONT 81 – 73 SAC |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONT 60 – 54 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONT 87 – 59 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MONT 68 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MONT 70 – 67 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 0-16 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.6 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#272) | 1.4 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#278) | 0.23 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#273) | 0.35 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#310) | 0.520 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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