Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -800 SAC +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +28 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -11.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -9.5 (+18.5) | 136.9 (+9.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -10.0 (+18.0) | 140.0 (+6.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -9.6 (+18.4) | 139.6 (+6.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -10.2 (+17.8) | 138.8 (+7.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONT 81 – 73 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAC 86 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONT 60 – 54 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MONT 68 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MONT 70 – 67 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 3-15 |
| Home | 15-1 | 5-11 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#215) | -11.3 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#130) | -2.48 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#157) | -3.42 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#104) | 0.366 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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