Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SAC +290 MONT -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +6 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -7.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -7.3 (+1.3) | 139.1 (-25.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -7.4 (+1.4) | 140.0 (-26.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -7.1 (+1.1) | 141.8 (-27.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -7.7 (+1.7) | 138.9 (-24.9) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONT 81 – 73 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAC 86 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONT 87 – 59 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MONT 68 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MONT 70 – 67 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-11 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#335) | -1.1 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#349) | 0.91 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.20 (#354) | 0.67 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#354) | 0.566 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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